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Sickness absence rates predicted to decline by 25% across public and private sectors

Forecasts show that sickness absence will decline by a quarter over the next year across public and private sectors, but only because people will be too scared not to show up for work.

Employers could witness a reduction in sickness absence, as employees fearful of job security would start to attend work when ill. Earlier this year a report found that private sector employers were noticing a 20% drop in sickness absence, as fears over job security grew.

Sickness absence currently costs UK private sector employers £692 per employee per year, and public sector organisations £784 per employee per year, according to recent research by the CIPD.

On average, employees in the public sector take 9.7 days per year sick leave, compared with 6.4 days in the private sector, according to the CIPD.

HR teams may be tempted to read the figures wrongly, assuming that sickness absence policies have worked. There will be some real decline in sickness absence because some organisations are getting to what underpins it. But particularly in those industries where job losses or mergers have already occurred or something has occurred as a result of the downturn, people are giving up sick leave in a fear over job security.